What they’ll do next — and what they won’t.
Your hardest calls hinge on a powerful, hard-to-read actor — a regulator, a competitor, a counterparty, a head of state. Instead of trusting one analyst’s hunch, Predictive Intelligence applies a tested method — AI’s discipline plus forty years of crisis judgement — that scores what they’ll most likely do, what they won’t, and checks every call against what actually happened.
Request a briefingToo important to leave to a hunch.
When a powerful actor can make or break your plan, you fall back on the smartest person in the room — an advisor, a pundit, your own gut. But one person’s read is fallible, unaccountable, and walks out of the door when they do. And it only ever tells you what to fear — never, with any rigour, what you can safely set down.
“Impossible to predict” usually just means nobody built the right method.
A method, not a single opinion.
Predictive Intelligence is a repeatable system: AI’s pattern-recognition and discipline, combined with decades of crisis judgement, scoring what actually drives a decision-maker. You get a calibrated read — the most likely path, the scenarios to discount, and the signals that would change it — that you can interrogate, not an opinion you take on trust. Four forces decide where their gravity pulls:
Read the four together and you see not just what’s coming — but what isn’t.
Proven on the hardest target there is.
We stress-tested the method, live, against the least predictable actor alive — and called the moves the consensus missed, including the mechanism that actually moves him (the bond market, not the headlines). The whole record is public, including where we were wrong.
The live model See it running on US foreign policy → Dated, scored assessments published before events unfold — and graded honestly against the outcome. Iran · Cuba · Panama · NATO | intel.rufusstreet.comJudgement, not just data.
A partnership between Geoff Beattie (Rufus Street) — forty years in newsrooms, agencies and government war rooms — and Harquebus Intelligence, bringing decades of intelligence and crisis experience. Expert judgement sets the read; AI gives it scale, consistency and the discipline to reject what doesn’t hold.
Start with a briefing.
A confidential, 30-minute conversation — the actor you need to read, the decision it bears on, and how the method would apply to your exposure. No deck, no obligation.
intel@rufusstreet.com